Timeshare…the Little Engine That Could
At one time, there were twice as many publicly held timeshare resort companies listed as there are today. Here it is January 2025 and only four that come to mind. (Feel free to straighten me out at linkedin.com/in/sharonscottwilson.)
An article in TipRanks, a publication found on the Nasdaq website, points out that timeshare stock is undervalued at the present. According to JMP Securities, a full-service investment bank and institutional brokerage firm, …”timeshare stocks have been passed over by investors, resulting in a share price discount.”
“In our view, near-term headwinds have been priced into the stocks and/or are reflected in 2024/2025 estimates,” JMP analyst Aaron Hecht was quoted as saying. The top contenders for future explosive plays (to borrow a football term) on Hecht’s list were Hilton Grand Vacations, Travel + Leisure, and Marriott Club Vacations. Visit https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/jmp-says-timeshare-stocks-will-outperform-over-the-long-term-here-are-3-names-to-consider for the details.
Forever optimistic, market analysts are expecting an improved economy, despite geopolitical risks and current high inflation, particularly if the Federal Reserve continues or even escalates interest rates. Natural or manmade obstacles to the supply chain could limit economic recovery and growth.AI and automation could lead to job displacement and civil unrest, as well as to unforeseen disruptions of many kinds to businesses. Of the many unknowns threatening the economy at the moment, are natural disasters such as the Southern California fires.
Nevertheless, people still value vacations. If owning a timeshare assures them of being able to afford one each and every year, it’s a message millennials are hearing loud and clear. The article notes, “The model has proven particularly attractive in the millennial demographic, a fact that gives the industry a sound path toward long-term profits. Millennials are relatively young and are buying timeshare rights at a proportionately higher rate than other age groups. For timeshare companies, this presents the prospect of a sound business base for the next decade or more.”
Here is an overview of major publicly traded timeshare companies, courtesy of ChatGPT:
[Caveat: Bear in mind Bluegreen Vacations Holding Corporation (BVH) was acquired by Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) in October 2023 for approximately $1.4 billion in cash and stock. For Bluegreen Vacations stockholders, the acquisition offered the option to either receive $24.00 per share or exchange Bluegreen for 0.2575 shares of HGV stock.]
For those of us who have been involved in the timeshare industry since the ‘80s (this author was hired as Membership Director for ARRDA in 1989), the demise of timeshare has been consistent. Nevertheless, vacation ownership has not gone down without a fight. We join Hecht in agreeing it is now (and always has been) undervalued. It truly is the “little engine that could.”
Sharon Scott Wilson, RRP, is co-owner, content director, and publisher of Resort Trades Media Group, a business-to-business media providing free information about people, places, and events in the vacation resort industry.
EDITOR’S NOTE: Please note that stock prices and other financial metrics are subject to change. For the most current information, refer to official financial sources or the companies’ investor relations websites.
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